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North Carolina: Great Lake Fire burning in footprint of 2012 fire

admin by admin
April 22, 2023
in News


Managing fires is a traditionally on-the-ground profession that adopted quickly to the value of aerial resources. On the Great Lake Fire in North Carolina, listed at 7000 acres yesterday, a range of sky-based tools help convey the current status, even from a continent away.

For one, there’s avionics tracking — such as that provided by FlightRadar24. A screen shot just past noon conveys a circle significantly larger than the fire footprint reported the night before.

A screen shot of FlightRadar24, with air traffic above the Great Lake Fire, at 1244 EDT, April 21, 2023.

Some seven hours later in the shift, at 1724 EDT, the aerial observation ship is circling tighter and to the north.

A screen shot of FlightRadar24, with air traffic above the Great Lake Fire, at 1244 EDT, April 21, 2023.

Switching to VIIRS satellites, the heat signature shows growth (and likely burnouts) in the past six hours (the brighter red, with the lighter yellow being 24 hours old). Using the Area tool built into NASA Lance FIRMS site, a rough (and likely large) estimate puts the fire at 30,000 acres.

VIIRS heat detection and estimated perimeter of 30,000 acres (which may be exaggerated by heat from the smoke column).

Switch to the toolset shared via the Risk Management Assistance Dashboard and one can overlay fire histories (the black solid line) … and lo and behold, the current estimated perimeter seems to align with the Dad Fire, a 21,000 acre fire in 2012, as well as prior fuel treatments to the north and south.

One additional tool is the mapping, forecasting, interpretation and messaging of smoke and its impacts … as shared here via a Twitter post from the N.C. Air Qualify Forecast Center.

URGENT (4:42PM FRIDAY 4/21/2023): UNHEALTHY TO HAZARDOUS AIR QUALITY LIKELY OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH TOMORROW OWING TO SMOKE FROM GREAT LAKE FIRE. #ncwx #airquality #AQI

This a developing situation, please see our forecast discussion: https://t.co/A4ceI2rdBO pic.twitter.com/CY1GU9PkfT

— NC Air Quality Forecast Center (@NCDAQ_Forecast) April 21, 2023

We echo what the Air Quality center notes in their tweet: this is a developing situation, and the maps shared here are interpretations of what is certainly more challenging, and being more accurately portrayed, on the ground and in the air above the Croatan.

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